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OpinionINTERNET

Compute Sovereignty: Tension Between Open Models and Closed Fabs

Open models lower AI barriers, but training and large-scale deployment still rely on specific regions' power and manufacturing capacity.

Over the past two years, publicly weighted and open inference frameworks have significantly lowered the barrier to "using large AI models," but training and large-scale deployment still highly rely on specific regional resources.

Software Side Progress

Open source model progress:

Dimension 2025 2027
Mainstream open model parameters 70B 7B (quantized)
Inference cost (/token) $0.1 $0.003
Deployment barrier A100×8 RTX 4090

The software-side open-source movement has indeed lowered AI usage barriers.

Hardware-Side Concentration

However, reverse concentration trends on hardware side:

Resource Concentrated Region Risk
Advanced processes (below 3nm) Taiwan (~60%), Korea (~30%) Geopolitical
GPU capacity NVIDIA (~80%) Supply chain
Energy costs North America, Middle East Energy security

This article is fictional and does not constitute investment advice.